Verdion
Capital
Combined Strategy Report
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Confidential • For Qualified Investors Only
Verdion Capital Confidential
Combined Strategy Report

Verdion
Capital

Engineered for asymmetry. A systematic portfolio of three uncorrelated strategies, stress-tested across 2,803 trades and every major market regime since 2019. All returns are non-compounded.

Net Return
+971%
Profit Factor
1.45
Sharpe Ratio
2.34
Sortino Ratio
3.86
Return / DD
16.2x
Max Drawdown
13.3%

MNQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100  •  $1,500,000 Starting Capital  •  July 2019 - April 2026

For Qualified Investors Only

01 - The Opportunity

Investment Thesis

Verdion Capital deploys a systematic, multi-strategy portfolio on Nasdaq-100 futures, engineered to extract returns across all market conditions. The system has been validated across 6.8 years of performance data spanning every major regime, from the COVID crash through the 2023 AI rally and into late-cycle volatility.

Three structurally uncorrelated strategies operate in parallel, each targeting a distinct market inefficiency. Fully rules-based execution eliminates discretionary risk and ensures repeatable performance at scale.

Structure
Algorithmic
Quantitative, rules-based
Instrument
MNQ / NQ
CME Nasdaq-100 Futures
02 - Overview

Executive Summary

The Verdion Capital Combined Strategy is a systematic, rules-based portfolio comprising three uncorrelated quantitative strategies deployed on MNQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures. Over 6.8 years of performance data spanning July 2019 through April 2026, the system delivered a +971% non-compounded return on $1.5M starting capital - a 971% non-compounded return with a maximum drawdown of 13.3% of peak equity.

The portfolio achieves institutional-grade risk-adjusted returns through structural diversification. Vertex exhibits near-zero daily return correlation with both Helix and Sentinel. All three strategies remained independently profitable across every major market regime in the dataset.

Net Return
+971%
Non-compounded on $1.5M
Profit Factor
1.45
All 3 profitable
Max Drawdown
13.3%
Of peak equity
Return / Max DD
16.2x
971% / 13.3%
Annual / Max DD
2.4x
Sortino: 3.86
Win Rate
44.9%
2,803 trades
Profitable Months
60 / 82
73% positive
Sharpe Ratio
2.34
Risk-adjusted return
Avg Trade P&L
+$5,198
Consistent edge per trade
Net After Commission
+940%
$14,095,200 net of $475K comm
Total Contracts
949,600
Execution at scale
Max Win Streak
9
Consecutive winners
03 - Performance

Portfolio Equity Growth

Cumulative equity from $1.5M starting capital across all three strategies. Trade-by-trade equity progression with drawdown analysis below.

Equity Curve - $1.5M Starting CapitalCombined portfolio + individual strategy equity | Jul 2019 - Apr 2026
Drawdown from Peak EquityPercentage drawdown from high-water mark
04 - Regime Analysis

Performance Across Market Regimes

The portfolio was profitable in 5 of 6 distinct market regimes. Even during the 2022 rate hike cycle - the worst environment in the dataset - the drawdown was contained and the portfolio recovered to new highs within months.

05 - Architecture

Strategy Breakdown

Three independent return sources with distinct market microstructure edges, engineered for maximum decorrelation and equity curve stability.

Vertex
Primary Alpha · 48% of P&L
Profit Factor2.10
Win Rate30.0%
Total Trades573
Max Drawdown5.1%
Return / DD20.3x
Positive Months47 / 78
Avg Winner$77,068
Net Profit+$6.94M
Helix
Momentum Complement · 38% of P&L
Profit Factor1.31
Win Rate40.3%
Total Trades1,060
Max Drawdown9.8%
Return / DD8.3x
Positive Months58 / 82
Avg Winner$54,043
Net Profit+$5.49M
Sentinel
Equity Stabilizer · 15% of P&L
Profit Factor1.25
Win Rate56.3%
Total Trades1,170
Max Drawdown3.0%
Return / DD10.6x
Positive Months51 / 81
Avg Winner$16,520
Net Profit+$2.15M
06 - Diversification

Cross-Strategy Correlation

Vertex is effectively uncorrelated with both Helix and Sentinel, providing natural diversification that reduces portfolio-level drawdowns.

Vertex
Helix
Sentinel
Vertex
1.000
0.084
0.227
Helix
0.084
1.000
0.732
Sentinel
0.227
0.732
1.000
Sum of Individual DDs
$1,204,900
Combined Realized DD
$899,250
07 - Risk Management

Risk Controls & Drawdown Analysis

Systematic risk management is embedded at every level of the portfolio. Position sizing is rules-based, drawdowns are structurally compressed through decorrelation, and no single trade can materially impact the portfolio.

Position Sizing
Contract sizing is calculated systematically based on account equity and per-strategy volatility targets. No discretionary overrides. Maximum exposure is capped per strategy and in aggregate.
Drawdown Compression
The three-strategy structure compresses peak drawdown through decorrelation. Individual strategy drawdowns sum to a higher combined figure, but the portfolio realized drawdown is just 13.3% of peak equity, demonstrating significant diversification benefit.
Tail Risk Profile
Worst single trade: -$48K (0.3% of peak equity). Average winner ($37,535) exceeds average loser ($24,999) by 1.50x, ensuring positive expectancy independent of win rate. No individual trade exceeds 1% portfolio impact.
08 - Forward Projections

Monte Carlo Analysis

1,000 simulations bootstrapped from the actual 2,803-trade distribution over a 3-year forward horizon. Results show the range of probable outcomes at full allocation on $1.5M capital, preserving the empirical return distribution without parametric assumptions.

3-Year Forward Projection - 1,000 Simulations200 simulated equity paths | Shaded bands: 25th-75th & 10th-90th percentile
09 - Risk Profiles

Allocation Profiles

Identical logic across all profiles. Only position sizing differs. Commission at $0.25/contract/side.

Net Return
+971%
Non-compounded
Max Drawdown
13.3%
Of peak equity
Return / DD
16.2x
Annual: 2.4x
Net After Comm
$14,095,200
Comm: $475K
StrategyReturn %PFWin%TradesMax DD %Ret/DD+Mo
Vertex+462.5%2.1030.0%5735.1%20.3x47/78
Helix+365.8%1.3140.3%1,0609.8%8.3x58/82
Sentinel+143.0%1.2556.3%1,1703.0%10.6x51/81
Net Profit
+486%
Non-compounded
Max Drawdown
8.6%
Of peak equity
Return / DD
16.2x
Annual: 2.4x
Net After Comm
$7,047,600
Comm: $237K
StrategyReturn %PFWin%TradesMax DD %Ret/DD+Mo
Vertex+231.3%2.1030.0%5733.4%20.3x47/78
Helix+182.9%1.3140.3%1,0606.5%8.3x58/82
Sentinel+71.5%1.2556.3%1,1702.0%10.6x51/81
Net Profit
+243%
Non-compounded
Max Drawdown
5.8%
Of peak equity
Return / DD
16.2x
Annual: 2.4x
Net After Comm
$3,523,800
Comm: $119K
StrategyReturn %PFWin%TradesMax DD %Ret/DD+Mo
Vertex+115.6%2.1030.0%5732.2%20.3x47/78
Helix+91.5%1.3140.3%1,0604.3%8.3x58/82
Sentinel+35.8%1.2556.3%1,1701.3%10.6x51/81
Net Profit
+121%
Non-compounded
Max Drawdown
2.9%
Of peak equity
Return / DD
16.2x
Annual: 2.4x
Net After Comm
$1,761,900
Comm: $59K
StrategyReturn %PFWin%TradesMax DD %Ret/DD+Mo
Vertex+57.8%2.1030.0%5731.3%20.3x47/78
Helix+45.7%1.3140.3%1,0602.6%8.3x58/82
Sentinel+17.9%1.2556.3%1,1700.8%10.6x51/81
10 - Risk Tiers

Allocation Comparison

Three risk profiles. All ratios constant; only absolute values scale.

Ultra-Conservative
Eighth Risk
12.5% Position Sizing
+$1.82M
+121% on $1.5M
Max Drawdown5.4%
Return / DD16.2x
Annual / DD2.4x
Net After Comm$1,761,900
Conservative
Quarter Risk
25% Position Sizing
+$3.64M
+243% on $1.5M
Max Drawdown7.2%
Return / DD16.2x
Annual / DD2.4x
Net After Comm$3,523,800
Recommended
Balanced
Half Risk
50% Position Sizing
+$7.29M
+486% on $1.5M
Max Drawdown8.6%
Return / DD16.2x
Annual / DD2.4x
Net After Comm$7,047,600
Aggressive
Full Risk
100% Position Sizing
+$14.57M
+971% on $1.5M
Max Drawdown13.3%
Return / DD16.2x
Annual / DD2.4x
Net After Comm$14,095,200
11 - Calendar

Monthly Returns

% of starting capital at full allocation. Color intensity reflects magnitude.

Day-of-Week Performance
Monday
+$4.27M
29.3% of P&L
$11,128 avg
384 trades
Tuesday
+$2.52M
17.3% of P&L
$3,985 avg
632 trades
Wednesday
+$1.81M
12.4% of P&L
$2,773 avg
652 trades
Thursday
+$2.02M
13.8% of P&L
$3,308 avg
610 trades
Friday
+$3.95M
27.1% of P&L
$7,527 avg
525 trades
12 - Complete Trade Log

All 2,803 Trades

Complete chronological trade list. Searchable and filterable by strategy, outcome, date, or signal.

2,803 trades
#DirDateCtsP&LNet P&LCum P&L%DayW/L
Important Disclosures

Past performance is not indicative of future results. This document presents historical performance data and is provided for informational purposes only. All returns presented are non-compounded (fixed notional).

No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Monte Carlo projections are probabilistic estimates based on historical trade distributions and do not guarantee future outcomes.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Prospective investors should consult their own financial, legal, and tax advisors before making any investment decision. This document is confidential. All values in USD.